NewsMakers
56% Expect to travel for leisure in 2021; business travel not expected to return until 2024
Leisure travel is expected to return first, with consumers optimistic about national distribution of a vaccine and with that an ability to travel again in 2021.
The American Hotel & Lodging Association (AHLA) released “AHLA’s State of the Hotel Industry 2021” outlining the forecasted state of the hotel industry in 2021 and into the immediate future. The report examines the high-level economics of the hotel industry’s recovery, the specific impact on and eventual return of business travel, and consumer travel sentiments.
The pandemic has been devastating to the hospitality industry workforce, which is down nearly 4 million jobs compared to the same time in 2019. While some 200,000 jobs are expected to be filled this year, overall, the accommodations sector faces an 18.9% unemployment rate, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. In addition, half of US hotel rooms are projected to remain empty in 2021.
Business travel, which comprises the largest source of hotel revenue, remains nearly nonexistent, but it is expected to begin a slow return in the second half of 2021. Among frequent business travelers who are currently employed, 29% expect to attend their first business conference in the first half of 2021, 36% in the second half of the year and 20% more than a year from now. Business travel is not expected to return to 2019 levels until at least 2023 or 2024.
Leisure travel is expected to return first, with consumers optimistic about national distribution of a vaccine and with that an ability to travel again in 2021. The report found that heading into 2021, consumers are optimistic about travel, with 56% of Americans saying they are likely to travel for leisure or vacation in 2021. While 34% of adults are already comfortable staying in a hotel, 48% say their comfort is tied to vaccination in some way.
The top findings from this report include:
- Hotels will add 200,000 direct hotel operations jobs in 2021 but will remain nearly 500,000 jobs below the industry’s pre-pandemic employment level of 2.3 million employees.
- Half of US hotel rooms are projected to remain empty.
- Business travel is forecasted to be down 85% compared to 2019 through April 2021, and then only begin ticking up slightly.
- 56% of consumers say they expect to travel for leisure, roughly the same amount as in an average year.
- Nearly half of consumers see vaccine distribution as key to travel.
- When selecting a hotel, enhanced cleaning and hygiene practices rank as guests’ number two priority, behind price.
“COVID-19 has wiped out 10 years of hotel job growth. Yet the hallmark of hospitality is endless optimism, and I am confident in the future of our industry,” said Chip Rogers, president and CEO of AHLA.
“Despite the challenges facing the hotel industry, we are resilient. Hotels across the country are focused on creating an environment ready for guests when travel begins to return. AHLA is eager to work with the new Administration and Congress on policies that will ultimately help bring back travel, from helping small business hoteliers keep their doors open to ramping up vaccine distribution and testing. Together, we can bring back jobs and reignite a continued investment in the communities we serve,” said Rogers.
The resurgence of COVID-19, the emergence of new strains, and a slow vaccine rollout have added to the challenges the hotel industry faces this year. With travel demand continuing to lag normal levels, national and state projections for 2021 show a slow rebound for the industry and then accelerating in 2022.
The hotel industry experienced the most devastating year on record in 2020, resulting in historically low occupancy, massive job loss, and hotel closures across the country. Hotels were one of the first industries affected by the pandemic after travel was forced to a virtual halt in early 2020, and it will be one of the last to recover. The impact of COVID-19 on the travel industry so far has been nine times that of 9/11.
NewsMakers
Common drug class may increase risk of heart disease
The risk of cardiovascular disease increased in line with how much anticholinergic medication the participants used each year. Those with the highest exposure had a 71 per cent higher risk of a cardiovascular event than people who did not use anticholinergic medication at all.
People who use drugs with anticholinergic effects, including certain antidepressants, drugs for urinary incontinence and common antihistamines, are at higher risk of developing cardiovascular disease.
This is shown in a study from Karolinska Institutet published in BMC Medicine.
Anticholinergic drugs reduce the effect of the neurotransmitter acetylcholine and are commonly prescribed to middle-aged and older people. This large group of drugs includes antihistamines used for allergic conditions, anxiety or insomnia, drugs for urinary incontinence, and certain antidepressants, where tricyclic antidepressants have a strong anticholinergic effect, whereas SSRIs have a weaker effect. A high cumulative use of these drugs, referred to as anticholinergic burden (see fact box), has previously been linked to impaired cognitive ability.
May affect heart regulation
The new study suggests that the drugs may also affect the parasympathetic nervous system and thereby the regulation of the cardiovascular system. The results show that it may be important to monitor the total drug burden in everyday clinical practice.
The study included more than 500,000 people in Stockholm, Sweden, who were 45 years of age or older and had no prior cardiovascular disease, except for hypertension, at the start of the study. The researchers followed the participants for up to 14 years and analysed how the use of anticholinergic drugs was associated with the development of cardiovascular disease.
“Many of these drugs are used by older people and by people with multiple medical conditions. We wanted to investigate whether the total exposure had any significance for the risk of developing cardiovascular disease over time,” says Nanbo Zhu, postdoctoral researcher at the Department of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society, Karolinska Institutet.
71 per cent higher cardiac risk
The study showed that the risk of cardiovascular disease increased in line with how much anticholinergic medication the participants used each year. Those with the highest exposure had a 71 per cent higher risk of a cardiovascular event than people who did not use anticholinergic medication at all. The association was seen for all types of cardiovascular disease but was particularly clear for heart failure and various forms of arrhythmia.
“Our results indicate that the cumulative drug burden can affect heart regulation, not only in the short term but also over the long term. This does not mean that the drugs should always be avoided, but that exposure should be monitored carefully,” says Hong Xu, assistant professor at the Department of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society.
The researchers point out that the study is observational, meaning it cannot establish a causal relationship. Other factors, such as underlying diseases, may also influence the associations.
The work was carried out within the Stockholm CREAtinine Measurements project in collaboration between several research groups at Karolinska Institutet and Region Stockholm. The study was funded by the Swedish Research Council, the Center for Innovative Medicine Foundation, and other foundations. Some researchers report assignments for the pharmaceutical industry, which are disclosed in the scientific publication.
NewsMakers
Mindfulness practices found to significantly reduce depression symptoms, especially for those with early-life adversity
Mindfulness interventions help by regulating our emotions better when different challenges come up. For someone who has experienced childhood neglect or abuse, mindfulness training can help us make sense of that and respond skillfully to this moment in time.
A new study reveals that mindfulness practices may significantly reduce depression symptoms, particularly in people who have experienced early-life adversity, such as childhood abuse and neglect.
Led by Eric Loucks, professor of medicine, epidemiology, and of behavioral and social sciences and director of the Mindfulness Center at Brown, the study enrolled 201 participants, 101 of whom were randomized into the Mindfulness-Based Blood Pressure Reduction Program, while 100 were randomized into an enhanced usual care control, which included home blood-pressure monitors, physician access and health-education materials. Researchers also had a measure of participants’ early-life adversity, particularly their exposure to abuse or neglect.
Loucks and his team followed participants for six months to assess changes in blood pressure, health behaviors and mental health, finding that those in the mindfulness program showed significant improvements in their depression symptoms. Additionally, participants who experienced childhood neglect showed greater improvements in depression symptoms than those who had not. A similar, though less pronounced, trend was observed among people with a history of childhood abuse.
“In this program, that was primarily designed to lower blood pressure while addressing whole-person health, we also saw that mental well-being, particularly around depression symptoms, improved in participants that went through the program,” Loucks said. “The findings suggest that cultivating mindful self-regulation skills–such such as self-awareness, attention control and emotion regulation–may help interrupt maladaptive patterns shaped by past experiences.”
Over the last 15 years, Loucks has been studying social determinants of health such as early-life adversity and its impacts on cardiovascular health, body mass index and blood pressure. “I came to a point where I wanted to not just document it, but do something about it, and I wondered if mindfulness training might help,” he said. “I’d gone through a lot of mindfulness training myself outside of work and started to get trained up in mindfulness programs that are specific to health contexts.”
Loucks began to study the Mindfulness-Based Stress Reduction program, running it through two clinical trials that were funded by the NIH and finding that it reduced blood pressure in both trials. He also wanted to look at the intervention from a whole-person perspective.
“If we look at everyday folks out in the world, those that had exposure to early life adversity, like abuse and neglect, tend to have worse mental health and also worse cardiovascular health,” Loucks said. “Mindfulness interventions help by regulating our emotions better when different challenges come up. For someone who has experienced childhood neglect or abuse, mindfulness training can help us make sense of that and respond skillfully to this moment in time.”
Loucks discussed this work during a keynote address at the U.S. DOHaD Society this year. “It felt like a coming-home moment to see that this intervention, originally developed to address psychosocial factors that influence health, had even stronger effects among people with early-life adversity, particularly on depression,” he said. “It’s been about a 15-year arc of research that culminated in these findings.”
NewsMakers
High-fiber diet linked to reduced risk of heart disease in night shift workers
A moderate intake of about 19 grams of fibre per day was linked to a lower risk for those who worked night shifts regularly. For those who worked night shifts sporadically, about 15 grams was enough. The current recommendation for adults is about 25 grams of dietary fibre per day.
People who work at night have a higher risk of coronary artery disease, a type of heart disease. A new study suggests that a higher fibre intake in the diet may help reduce this risk. The study included over 220,000 adults in the UK and is published in the European Journal of Epidemiology.
The human body is built to sleep at night. This means that working during the night goes against this natural pattern, and can place additional strain on the body, including the heart. Previous research has linked night work to an increased risk of coronary artery disease. Since night work is often unavoidable, the researchers wanted to investigate whether certain dietary habits might have a protective effect.
More fibre associated with lower risk
The researchers used data from 220,000 adults in the UK Biobank (2006–2010) and divided the participants into three groups:
- Day workers
- Shift workers who worked night shifts sporadically
- Regular night shift workers
The participants had completed a detailed questionnaire about their dietary habits. During a follow-up after about 12 years, it was found that night shift workers who consumed little fibre in their diet had a higher risk of coronary artery disease than those who consumed more fibre.
“A moderate intake of about 19 grams of fibre per day was linked to a lower risk for those who worked night shifts regularly. For those who worked night shifts sporadically, about 15 grams was enough. The current recommendation for adults is about 25 grams of dietary fibre per day,” says Diana Nôga, lead author and researcher at Uppsala University.
The researchers stress that the figures from the study are not official dietary recommendations. But they do show a pattern in this UK study: a higher dietary fibre intake was linked to a lower risk of heart disease among night shift workers.
“The link between fibre and a lower risk of heart disease is not just because those who eat more fibre generally have a healthier lifestyle. We know this because we adjusted for various lifestyle factors in the analysis. One possible explanation, supported by previous research, is that fibre in the diet can improve intestinal flora and also reduce lipids, which can be particularly good for the heart in people who work at night,” says Christian Benedict, senior author of the study and Professor of Pharmacology at Uppsala University.
Dietary fibre can support heart health
According to the researchers, an increased intake of fibre-rich foods such as whole grains, vegetables, fruit, legumes and lentils may be a simple way to improve heart health for night shift workers. However, this requires that you do not have any medical obstacles to doing this, such as chronic gastrointestinal diseases.
“Dietary changes should be seen as a complement to, not a substitute for, other heart health-promoting habits such as not smoking, remaining physically active, and getting enough sleep,” says Diana Nôga.
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