NewsMakers
56% Expect to travel for leisure in 2021; business travel not expected to return until 2024
Leisure travel is expected to return first, with consumers optimistic about national distribution of a vaccine and with that an ability to travel again in 2021.
The American Hotel & Lodging Association (AHLA) released “AHLA’s State of the Hotel Industry 2021” outlining the forecasted state of the hotel industry in 2021 and into the immediate future. The report examines the high-level economics of the hotel industry’s recovery, the specific impact on and eventual return of business travel, and consumer travel sentiments.
The pandemic has been devastating to the hospitality industry workforce, which is down nearly 4 million jobs compared to the same time in 2019. While some 200,000 jobs are expected to be filled this year, overall, the accommodations sector faces an 18.9% unemployment rate, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. In addition, half of US hotel rooms are projected to remain empty in 2021.
Business travel, which comprises the largest source of hotel revenue, remains nearly nonexistent, but it is expected to begin a slow return in the second half of 2021. Among frequent business travelers who are currently employed, 29% expect to attend their first business conference in the first half of 2021, 36% in the second half of the year and 20% more than a year from now. Business travel is not expected to return to 2019 levels until at least 2023 or 2024.
Leisure travel is expected to return first, with consumers optimistic about national distribution of a vaccine and with that an ability to travel again in 2021. The report found that heading into 2021, consumers are optimistic about travel, with 56% of Americans saying they are likely to travel for leisure or vacation in 2021. While 34% of adults are already comfortable staying in a hotel, 48% say their comfort is tied to vaccination in some way.
The top findings from this report include:
- Hotels will add 200,000 direct hotel operations jobs in 2021 but will remain nearly 500,000 jobs below the industry’s pre-pandemic employment level of 2.3 million employees.
- Half of US hotel rooms are projected to remain empty.
- Business travel is forecasted to be down 85% compared to 2019 through April 2021, and then only begin ticking up slightly.
- 56% of consumers say they expect to travel for leisure, roughly the same amount as in an average year.
- Nearly half of consumers see vaccine distribution as key to travel.
- When selecting a hotel, enhanced cleaning and hygiene practices rank as guests’ number two priority, behind price.
“COVID-19 has wiped out 10 years of hotel job growth. Yet the hallmark of hospitality is endless optimism, and I am confident in the future of our industry,” said Chip Rogers, president and CEO of AHLA.
“Despite the challenges facing the hotel industry, we are resilient. Hotels across the country are focused on creating an environment ready for guests when travel begins to return. AHLA is eager to work with the new Administration and Congress on policies that will ultimately help bring back travel, from helping small business hoteliers keep their doors open to ramping up vaccine distribution and testing. Together, we can bring back jobs and reignite a continued investment in the communities we serve,” said Rogers.
The resurgence of COVID-19, the emergence of new strains, and a slow vaccine rollout have added to the challenges the hotel industry faces this year. With travel demand continuing to lag normal levels, national and state projections for 2021 show a slow rebound for the industry and then accelerating in 2022.
The hotel industry experienced the most devastating year on record in 2020, resulting in historically low occupancy, massive job loss, and hotel closures across the country. Hotels were one of the first industries affected by the pandemic after travel was forced to a virtual halt in early 2020, and it will be one of the last to recover. The impact of COVID-19 on the travel industry so far has been nine times that of 9/11.
Beauty & Fashion
Redefining aesthetics: From anti-aging to healthy aging
Growing attention is now being given to healthy aging, understanding how the entire face changes over time, preserving facial harmony, and helping people continue to look like themselves.
For decades, “anti-aging” has defined the beauty and aesthetics conversation, promising to erase wrinkles and reverse the signs of time. Today, that conversation is shifting.
Aging is no longer just about looking younger. Growing attention is now being given to healthy aging, understanding how the entire face changes over time, preserving facial harmony, and helping people continue to look like themselves.
A review published in Facial Plastic Surgery, The Anatomy of the Aging Face: A Review, describes aging as changes across bone, ligaments, muscles, fat, and skin. Another review in Aesthetic Surgery Journal, The Facial Aging Process From the “Inside Out”, explains how changes beneath the surface eventually become visible on top.
Studies in Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery show facial fat is organized into distinct anatomical compartments that can lose volume and shift position over time, altering facial shape and balance.
For multi-awarded aesthetic physician Dr. James Co, founder of Cosma Institute and Architect of Aesthetic Confidence, these findings are the reason aesthetic care must start with understanding, not just treating.
“Aging is not a disease we need to cure,” Co said. “It is a biological process. As physicians, our role is to understand what is changing beneath the surface, how those changes differ from person to person, and whether intervention is appropriate in the first place.”
“When you only look at the wrinkle, you are looking at the surface of a much bigger anatomical process,” he added. “The face ages as a system. Good assessment means understanding what is happening underneath before deciding what should be done on the surface.”
Part of that understanding is recognizing that no two faces age the same way. Two people can be the same age and experience aging very differently. Genetics, skeletal structure, fat distribution, skin characteristics, sun exposure, lifestyle, and environmental factors all influence how aging presents.
“Two patients can be the same age and come to me with completely different anatomy, lifestyles, concerns, and goals,” Co said. “Why would we expect their treatment plans to look exactly the same?”
This is where healthy aging broadens the conversation — from fixing isolated signs to looking at the face as a whole and listening to what the individual actually wants.
“Someone can want to look refreshed without wanting to look 20 years younger,” Co said. “Those are completely different goals.”
Rather than trying to freeze one version of the face forever, healthy aging acknowledges that the face will continue to change. As different structures change at different rates, the relationship between features evolves. Facial harmony is therefore not fixed.
“You cannot freeze one version of your face forever,” Co said. “But you can understand how the face is changing and make decisions that respect its natural proportions and your identity.”
In the age of social media, where aesthetic treatments are highly visible, Co cautions against self-diagnosis.
“Patients should not have to diagnose themselves from social media,” he said. “You might recognize a concern, but deciding why it is happening and what should be done about it requires proper assessment.”
The shift is also about how people feel, not just how they look. A 2022 review on minimally invasive facial aesthetic procedures found studies are increasingly looking beyond physical changes to include satisfaction with appearance and aspects of psychological and social well-being, while noting that evidence still needs careful interpretation.
For Co, this reinforces that success is not always about looking dramatically younger.
“We need to ask whether the result makes sense for the patient, whether expectations were met, and whether we preserved the things that make that person recognizable,” he said. “I would rather someone tell my patient, ‘You look well,’ than immediately ask, ‘What did you have done?'”
At Cosma Institute, Co applies this consultation-led philosophy through individualized assessment, facial harmony, medical judgment, and patient education. Having trained aesthetic practitioners across Southeast Asia and Europe, he advocates for natural-looking outcomes that respect the characteristics already present in each face — an approach that recently earned him two awards at the Merz Aesthetics Tala Awards.
For Co, the evolution of aesthetic medicine is not about having more tools, but knowing when to use them — and when not to.
“Aging cannot be stopped, and I don’t think that should be the promise,” he said. “What we can do is understand it better. We can look at the science, understand the anatomy, listen to the patient, and make decisions that allow them to age while still looking recognizably like themselves.”
For Co, healthy aging begins not with fighting age, but with understanding it.
NewsMakers
The look and feel of your neighborhood may affect your sleep
Those living in neighborhoods rated as having a stronger sense of safety tended to sleep longer, and that this rating appeared to be shaped by the streetscape.
Your neighborhood’s “streetscape”—the physical environment of your street—is something that you have probably never consciously thought about, despite seeing it every day. But what if the streetscape was affecting you on a subconscious level and disrupting your sleep?
This intriguing question is posed by the findings of a study led by Professor Daisuke Matsushita of the Graduate School of Human Life and Ecology at Osaka Metropolitan University. The research team used AI to analyze more than 200,000 Google Street View images to identify visual neighborhood characteristics. They then linked these characteristics to the self-reported sleep of 1,089 working adults living on the lower floors of apartments in Tokyo, who were most likely to be affected by the streetscape.
They found that those living in neighborhoods rated as having a stronger sense of safety tended to sleep longer, and that this rating appeared to be shaped by the streetscape. Generally, people slept longer in areas with lots of greenery, such as leafy trees, on the street. Similarly, high “enclosure”—meaning many tall vertical buildings and few wide-open spaces—was also associated with longer sleep and fewer insomnia symptoms.
However, the study also made a surprising finding. The researchers found that highly walkable streetscapes, such as those with more sidewalks and traffic signs, were associated with a lowered sense of safety and shortened sleep duration.
This suggests that walkability does not always represent a reassuring environment. Instead, a possible explanation is that streets with extensive pedestrian infrastructure are often busier, more crowded, and used by more strangers, which may be perceived as less safe or less relaxing than quieter residential streets.
“This study demonstrates the potential for evaluating streetscape characteristics across large geographic areas in a cost-effective manner,” Dr. Matsushita said. “Based on the technique used in this study, cities could potentially measure perceived safety, beauty, liveliness, and enclosure as well as pollution and noise.”
“We hope that opening up this new perspective creates further possibilities for designing healthier neighborhoods,” he concludes.
The findings were published in Building and Environment.
NewsMakers
Workout or nap? Either can help your sleepless brain, study finds
People who either completed 20 minutes of moderate-to-vigorous exercise or took a 90-minute nap performed about 22 per cent better on memory tests after 30 hours without sleep than those who did neither.
A short workout or a nap can help protect memory after a sleepless night, a McGill University-led study has found.
Researchers found people who either completed 20 minutes of moderate-to-vigorous exercise or took a 90-minute nap performed about 22 per cent better on memory tests after 30 hours without sleep than those who did neither. The findings, published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), point to practical ways to counter the effects of sleep deprivation.
“Sleep loss affects nearly every aspect of how we think and function, but many people can’t simply stop what they’re doing and get more sleep,” said senior author Marc Roig, Professor in McGill’s School of Physical and Occupational Therapy. “Our findings show that even a brief bout of exercise may help preserve one of our most important cognitive abilities.”
The study involved 54 healthy young adults who stayed awake for 30 consecutive hours under lab supervision. Participants were then assigned to one of three groups: a 20-minute cycling session, a 90-minute nap or a control condition. Three days later, researchers tested their memory for images they had viewed immediately after the intervention. Those who exercised or napped remembered significantly more images than participants who did neither.
Same result, different pathways
While the memory benefits were nearly identical, brain recordings revealed that exercise and napping helped in different ways.
Napping appeared to help the brain recharge, making it easier to take in and remember new information. Exercise, by contrast, helped the brain use its remaining resources more efficiently, without making participants feel more tired.
The findings could eventually inform fatigue-management strategies in workplaces where sleep loss is common and mistakes can have serious consequences, such as health care, transportation and emergency response.
“A nap isn’t always possible in the middle of a shift,” said first author Madhura Lotlikar, a doctoral candidate in McGill’s Department of Neurology and Neurosurgery. “Exercise is accessible, inexpensive and easy to implement. That makes it a promising tool to help people stay cognitively sharp when sleep is limited.”
The researchers emphasize that exercise cannot replace sleep, but it may help people function better when getting enough rest isn’t possible.
About the study
“Protecting episodic memory after sleep loss: Similar benefits of exercise and naps via distinct neural contributions” by Madhura Lotlikar and Marc Roig et al., was published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America.
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