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56% Expect to travel for leisure in 2021; business travel not expected to return until 2024

Leisure travel is expected to return first, with consumers optimistic about national distribution of a vaccine and with that an ability to travel again in 2021.

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Photo by Edgar Pereira from Unsplash.com

The American Hotel & Lodging Association (AHLA) released “AHLA’s State of the Hotel Industry 2021” outlining the forecasted state of the hotel industry in 2021 and into the immediate future. The report examines the high-level economics of the hotel industry’s recovery, the specific impact on and eventual return of business travel, and consumer travel sentiments.

The pandemic has been devastating to the hospitality industry workforce, which is down nearly 4 million jobs compared to the same time in 2019. While some 200,000 jobs are expected to be filled this year, overall, the accommodations sector faces an 18.9% unemployment rate, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. In addition, half of US hotel rooms are projected to remain empty in 2021.

Business travel, which comprises the largest source of hotel revenue, remains nearly nonexistent, but it is expected to begin a slow return in the second half of 2021. Among frequent business travelers who are currently employed, 29% expect to attend their first business conference in the first half of 2021, 36% in the second half of the year and 20% more than a year from now. Business travel is not expected to return to 2019 levels until at least 2023 or 2024. 

Leisure travel is expected to return first, with consumers optimistic about national distribution of a vaccine and with that an ability to travel again in 2021. The report found that heading into 2021, consumers are optimistic about travel, with 56% of Americans saying they are likely to travel for leisure or vacation in 2021. While 34% of adults are already comfortable staying in a hotel, 48% say their comfort is tied to vaccination in some way.

The top findings from this report include:

  1. Hotels will add 200,000 direct hotel operations jobs in 2021 but will remain nearly 500,000 jobs below the industry’s pre-pandemic employment level of 2.3 million employees. 
  2. Half of US hotel rooms are projected to remain empty.
  3. Business travel is forecasted to be down 85% compared to 2019 through April 2021, and then only begin ticking up slightly. 
  4. 56% of consumers say they expect to travel for leisure, roughly the same amount as in an average year.  
  5. Nearly half of consumers see vaccine distribution as key to travel.
  6. When selecting a hotel, enhanced cleaning and hygiene practices rank as guests’ number two priority, behind price. 

“COVID-19 has wiped out 10 years of hotel job growth. Yet the hallmark of hospitality is endless optimism, and I am confident in the future of our industry,” said Chip Rogers, president and CEO of AHLA.

“Despite the challenges facing the hotel industry, we are resilient. Hotels across the country are focused on creating an environment ready for guests when travel begins to return. AHLA is eager to work with the new Administration and Congress on policies that will ultimately help bring back travel, from helping small business hoteliers keep their doors open to ramping up vaccine distribution and testing. Together, we can bring back jobs and reignite a continued investment in the communities we serve,” said Rogers.

The resurgence of COVID-19, the emergence of new strains, and a slow vaccine rollout have added to the challenges the hotel industry faces this year. With travel demand continuing to lag normal levels, national and state projections for 2021 show a slow rebound for the industry and then accelerating in 2022.

The hotel industry experienced the most devastating year on record in 2020, resulting in historically low occupancy, massive job loss, and hotel closures across the country. Hotels were one of the first industries affected by the pandemic after travel was forced to a virtual halt in early 2020, and it will be one of the last to recover. The impact of COVID-19 on the travel industry so far has been nine times that of 9/11.

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Cancer risk is significantly higher for adults who never married, large study finds

Adults who were never married had substantially higher rates of developing cancer compared with those who were or had been married. For some cancers, the association was even stronger: adult men who were never married had approximately five times the rate of anal cancer compared with married men.

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Adults who have never been married face a significantly higher risk of developing cancer than those who have been married, according to a study of more than 4 million cases.

The increased risk spans nearly every major cancer type and is especially pronounced for preventable cancers—those linked to infections, smoking and reproductive factors. Led by researchers at Sylvester Comprehensive Cancer Center, part of the University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, the study appears in the April 8 issue of Cancer Research Communications.

link to the article is here.

“These findings suggest that social factors such as marital status may serve as important markers of cancer risk at the population level,” said Paulo Pinheiro, Ph.D., study co-author and a Sylvester physician-scientist whose lab conducts population-based cancer epidemiology.

The novel observation does not mean that getting married prevents cancer or that people need to get married.

“It means that if you’re not married, you should be paying extra attention to cancer risk factors, getting any screenings you may need, and staying up to date on health care,” said Frank Penedo, Ph.D., associate director for population sciences and director of the Sylvester Survivorship and Supportive Care Institute (SSCI).

“For prevention efforts, our findings point to the importance of targeting cancer risk awareness and prevention strategies with attention to marital status,” he added.

Marriage is already associated with earlier cancer diagnosis and better survival. Married individuals often, but not always, have stronger support systems, greater economic stability and are more likely to adhere to cancer treatment regimens.

But previous work on the links between marriage and cancer focused almost entirely on what happens at and after diagnosis. Only a few small, older studies explored whether marriage affects the odds of getting cancer in the first place.

“We wanted to know who is more likely to get cancer: married people or unmarried people?” Pinheiro said.

To find out, the researchers analyzed a large dataset covering 12 states that included demographic and cancer data from more than 4 million cancer cases in a population of more than 100 million people, collected between 2015 and 2022. They examined cases of malignant cancers diagnosed at age 30 or older and compared rates of various cancers by marital status, further broken down by sex and race and adjusted for age.

The researchers categorized marital status into two groups: those who were or had been married, including married, divorced and widowed individuals, and those who had never been married. The study began in 2015 because that year, the U.S. Supreme Court legalized gay marriage, allowing same-sex couples to be included in the married category. One in five adults in the study had never married.

Pinheiro expected to see some associations, given established relationships between marriage and lifestyle factors such as smoking, routine medical care and having children. But the strength of some findings surprised him.

Adults who were never married had substantially higher rates of developing cancer compared with those who were or had been married. For some cancers, the association was even stronger: adult men who were never married had approximately five times the rate of anal cancer compared with married men. Adult women who were never married had nearly three times the rate of cervical cancer compared with women who were or had been married.

Both anal and cervical cancers are strongly related to HPV infection, so these differences likely reflect variation in exposure, and for cervical cancer, also differences in screening and prevention. In contrast, for cancers such as endometrial and ovarian, differences by marital status may partly reflect the protective effect of parity, which is more common among married individuals.

“It’s a clear and powerful signal that some individuals are at a greater risk,” Penedo said.

Men and women showed slightly different patterns. Men who were never married were about 70% more likely to develop cancer than married men, while women who never married were about 85% more likely to develop cancer than women who were or had been married.

This represents a small but noteworthy reversal of a broader trend: Men often benefit more from marriage than women in terms of health and social factors. In this case, women appeared to benefit slightly more from marriage than men.

The strongest associations between marriage and cancer were seen for cancers related to infection, smoking or alcohol use, and, for women, cancers related to reproduction, such as ovarian and endometrial cancer.

The researchers found weaker associations for cancers with robust screening programs, including breast, thyroid and prostate cancers.

They also observed patterns across race and marital status. Black men who were never married had the highest overall cancer rates. However, married Black men had lower cancer rates than married White men, indicating a strong protective association with marriage in that group.

The study has limitations. People who smoke less, drink less, take better care of themselves and are more socially integrated may also be more likely to get married.

Still, the researchers found that associations between marriage and cancer were stronger in adults older than 50, suggesting that as people age and accumulate cancer risk exposures, the benefits associated with marriage may become more pronounced.

The study also excluded individuals who are unmarried but in committed partnerships. That group is likely small relative to the size of the dataset, Pinheiro said, but worth exploring in future research.

Future studies could further subdivide the married category into married, divorced and widowed individuals and follow people over decades to better understand how marital transitions affect cancer risk.

Overall, getting married does not magically prevent cancer, both authors stressed.

“But the association between marriage status and cancer risk is an interesting, new observation that deserves more research,” Pinheiro said.

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Social support, sleep, pain management linked to mental health in later life

Older people who are socially connected, physically healthy, and spiritually engaged are significantly more likely to experience complete mental health.

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Older people who are socially connected, physically healthy, and spiritually engaged are significantly more likely to experience complete mental health.

This is according to a new study, “Flourishing older Canadians: What characteristics are associated with complete mental health?”, that was published in PLOS One.

Using data from 2,024 respondents in Statistics Canada’s 2022 Mental Health and Access to Care Survey (MHACS), researchers examined factors associated with both the absence of psychiatric disorder (APD) and complete mental health (CMH), a broader measure that combines freedom from mental illness with high emotional, psychological, and social well-being.

“Our findings shift the conversation away from mental illness alone and toward understanding what helps older adults truly flourish,” said first author Daniyal Rahim, PhD Candidate, Ontario Institute for Studies in Education, University of Toronto. “Complete mental health reflects not just the absence of disorders, but the presence of meaning, satisfaction, and strong social connections.”

The study found that older adults were more likely to experience APD and CMH if they were married or in a common-law relationship, had strong social support, rated their physical health as fair or better, and reported no chronic pain, sleep problems, or limitations in daily activities. Social support emerged as one of the strongest predictors, more than doubling the odds of achieving complete mental health.

“Social relationships appear to be a cornerstone of mental well-being in later life,” said coauthor Shannon Halls, Research Coordinator, Institute for Life Course & Aging, University of Toronto. “Having people to rely on during stressful times may buffer against psychological distress and promote resilience, happiness, and a sense of purpose.”

Spirituality was also strongly associated with mental well-being. Older adults who reported that religion or spirituality was important in their daily lives had significantly higher odds of both APD and CMH.

“Spiritual beliefs may help older adults cope with adversity by providing meaning, hope, and a sense of community,” said co-author Ying Jiang, a senior epidemiologist in the Applied Research Division, Centre for Surveillance and Applied Research, Public Health Agency of Canada. “These factors can be particularly relevant during periods of declining health or life transitions.”

Physical health factors played a critical role. Freedom from chronic pain, sleep problems, and limitations in instrumental activities of daily living was consistently associated with better mental health outcomes. Conversely, living in a large urban center was linked to lower odds of complete mental health compared to rural living.

“These findings underscore that mental health in aging is shaped by a complex interplay of social, physical, and environmental factors,” said senior author Esme Fuller-Thomson, Director, Institute for Life Course & Aging, University of Toronto, Factor-Inwentash Faculty of Social Work, University of Toronto. “Public health strategies that strengthen social support, address pain and sleep problems, and promote meaningful engagement could substantially improve well-being among older adults.”

The authors emphasize that many of the identified factors are modifiable, suggesting opportunities for targeted interventions, including social programming, pain management, sleep treatment, and community-based supports to help more older Canadians achieve complete mental health.

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Healthier plant-based diet associated with lower risk of Alzheimer’s, other dementias

Eating a higher quality plant-based diet is associated with a lower risk of Alzheimer’s disease and other related dementias compared to eating a lower quality plant-based diet.

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Eating a higher quality plant-based diet is associated with a lower risk of Alzheimer’s disease and other related dementias compared to eating a lower quality plant-based diet.

This is according to a study published in Neurology, the medical journal of the American Academy of Neurology.

While the study shows an association based on observations, it does not prove that a higher quality plant-based diet causes a lower risk of dementia.

Researchers looked at three plant-based diets. The overall plant-based diet prioritizes eating more plant foods than animal products like meat, milk and eggs, without looking at quality. The healthful plant-based diet prioritizes healthy plant foods like whole grains, fruits, vegetables, vegetable oils, nuts, legumes and tea and coffee. The unhealthful plant-based diet includes less healthy plant foods like refined grains, fruit juices, potatoes and added sugars. Researchers did not look at vegetarian or vegan diets.

“Plant-based diets have been shown to be beneficial in reducing the risk of diseases like diabetes and high blood pressure, but less is known about the risk of Alzheimer’s disease and other dementias,” said study author Song-Yi Park, PhD, of the University of Hawaii at Manoa’s Cancer Center in Honolulu. “Our study found that the quality of a plant-based diet mattered, with a higher quality diet associated with a reduced risk, and a lower quality diet associated with an increased risk.”

The study involved 92,849 people with an average age of 59 at the start of the study. It included African American, Japanese American, Latino, Native Hawaiian and white participants. They were followed for an average of 11 years. During that time, 21,478 people developed Alzheimer’s disease or another related dementia.

Participants completed food questionnaires at the start of the study. Researchers determined how well people’s diets resembled the overall plant-based diet, the healthful plant-based diet and the unhealthful plant-based diet, by reviewing how many healthy and less healthy plant foods they ate, as well as animal fats, meat, dairy, eggs, fish and seafood. Participants were each given three scores based on how closely they followed the three plant-based diets.

Researchers then ranked the participants into five subgroups for each of the three diet scores.

After adjusting for factors like age, physical activity and diabetes, researchers found that when comparing people based on their score for the overall plant-based diet, the top subgroup who ate the most plant foods had a 12% lower risk of dementia compared to the lowest subgroup.

When people were compared based on their score for the healthful plant-based diet, the top subgroup had a 7% lower risk compared to the lowest subgroup. And when compared based on their score for the unhealthful plant-based diet, the top subgroup who ate the most unhealthy plant foods had a 6% higher risk of dementia than the lowest subgroup.

Among a smaller group of 45,065 participants who reported their diet again after 10 years, 8,360 participants later developed dementia. Researchers looked at diet changes over time. When compared to people whose diets didn’t change, people whose diets changed the most toward following an unhealthful diet had a 25% higher risk of dementia while those whose diets changed the most away from following an unhealthful diet had an 11% lower risk.

“We found that adopting a plant-based diet, even starting at an older age, and refraining from low-quality plant-based diets were associated with a lower risk of Alzheimer’s and other dementias,” said Park. “Our findings highlight that it is important not only to follow a plant-based diet, but also to ensure that the diet is of high quality.”

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